Chasing Success in NASCAR: A Statistical Look Into Race for the Chase Tournament Structure to Assess the Focus on Winning Races Across Three Championship Formats

Tracy D. Rishel, Wake Forest University
Elizabeth W. Baker, University of North Carolina - Wilmington
Frederick W. Crouch, Wake Forest University

ABSTRACT
Since 2004, NASCAR has been modifying their format to increase the importance of wins in their Chase for the championship. This project takes a statistical look at their efforts, and compares the past 11 seasons to measure the effect. The model's development focuses on the drivers, and what factors represent them and their team's effort in the Chase. The analysis identifies significant factors that influence the championship standings and the strength and consistency of the key factor in predicting the accumulation of points towards the championship.

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Updated 02/21/2015