Success In NASCAR: The Statistical Determinants of Points

C. Barry Pfitzner, Randolph-Macon College
Tracy D. Rishel, Wake Forest University

ABSTRACT
One of the criticisms of the NASCAR points system in place prior to 2004 was that the accumulation of points was a matter of completing races and therefore completing more laps. This research attempts to determine if laps completed is still the dominant factor that determines NASCAR success as measured by points. We provide evidence in the form of multiple regression analyses for the full 2012 season. Compared to previous research, we find that laps completed is an even more important determinant of accumulated points. In addition, car speed and year-to-year consistency continue to serve as important factors in determining success.

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Updated 02/23/2014